TTB Research.

In the interest of further understanding the technologies that I believe are up and coming I thought I would put together a page of where I think things are now. Considering how I believe nanotech will turn everything thing on it's head it's only fair to look for other disruptive technologies that must evolve first or may evolve at the same time.

Stages of Nanotechnology

Icon 26 got me thinking. How do you separate the many stages of nanotechnology? What will nanotech's eras be? A lot of that depends if we leverage mechanisms in existing biological systems (top down) or build things from scratch (bottom up). I assumed that some biological structures where copied but needed to be carefully built in a bottom up approach. This assumption is based on the often overlooked but major advantage of more normal scale mechanical structures, predictability.

Cheap light-weight durable computers

The Future
One of the technologies that was understood and used by the technically minded characters are cheap, long lasting, durable, portable computers. I made a few assumptions about portable computing technology that in my opinion would coincide with or have happened prior the successful design of the first autonomous nanite.
After some review, the Nokia 770 seemed to have the most promise on the precompiled software front. That combined with generally good reviews, and a price that was cheap enough not to make accidents tragic.
Some tests

I put together a couple of different rigs to try to get the usefulness of a desktop out of a tablet. With no HUD or clarks to fool with I had to try to cope with the disadvantage of the tiny screen size. Since it's an LCD and lightweight I thought perhaps moving the whole unit near my eyes might do the trick. This worked out better than I expected. There are three distinct advantages to using appropriately sized LCD a few inches from your face.

I'm not sure I would realized these benefits of future computing without buying and experimenting with the 770. The last two directly apply to the arm strap PCs and clarks. Expect to see it come up at least briefly in the next book.

Automatic local Internet copy

-Updated 5/08 My next project is to see if I can set up a caching proxy that you can browse offline, but that periodically attempts to connect to Internet and download the newest version of particular sites on it's own. Is it possible to set up some sort of anticipitory caching and use the results in a nearly transparant way.

So it looks like this actually happened. Sombody ported httrack to the n800/n810, which does exactly this. Awsome!

Who has incentive to develop nanotech.

Moore's Law

2/09 - So it looks like Moore's law as an experation date. 2016. That's why I set this book smack in the middle of our economic winter. (Originally I was thinking 2012 but the law has slowed a bit since 1999.) I did the math, but didn't set a date due to Gordon Moore himself poo pooing his own law many years ago. But it's still holding! At least when measured in circut size. Right now, based on Intel's announcements, it's looking like...

... The thing to remember here is they depend on energy projection wavelength right now to guide the materials when etching the chips. No energy has a narrow enough wavelenth at that scale to make any sense. The chip companies begin design 2-4 years before they actually expect to sell a product. That means they either start working on technologies that can place small groups of atoms at a time (nanotech) or they plan their own death only two years from now! 2011!

Unfortunately a smaller window just makes the next book harder to write. :) DOH!